Rising Wallets
Traders whose week is beating their month.
The tool runs at /rising and needs a $49.99/mo membership. There is no free tier and no trial, so opening it signed out lands on the pricing page rather than the board. This page is the open documentation of what it does.
Any leaderboard built on settled results is late by construction. By the time a wallet has enough history to rank, its best window is usually behind it. Rising Wallets is the nursery board: wallets showing sharp patterns before the main board crowns them.
The candidate universe is defined by subtraction — this week's top profit wallets, minus everyone already sitting in the monthly top thirty. Momentum without tenure.
What each candidate is measured on
Every candidate is enriched with its current position book, its recent settled record, its profile age, its own monthly leaderboard row, and its official lifetime profit. The Rising Score then combines five things: the size of the week's profit through a saturating curve, how much of the month's profit landed this week, capital efficiency on week volume, a bonus for wallets under ninety days old, and recent hit rate.
Each row also carries a one-line note generated from that wallet's actual signals in priority order — an acceleration multiple, a rebound week against a down month, an age-and-hit-rate pairing — never canned praise.
The hit-rate trap this board had to avoid
Recent form is read from closed positions rather than the open book, and it has to be read carefully. Polymarket auto-redeems winners out of the open positions feed, so what is left there is mostly unredeemed losses: one wallet that looked zero-for-forty on its open book was thirty-seven-for-thirty-eight on its closed one.
The closed-positions endpoint has its own trap — it defaults to sorting by realized profit descending, so a naive first page is literally a wallet's fifty biggest winners and reads as a perfect record. The board sorts by time instead and reads roughly the last hundred closes, ignoring anything under ten dollars so token crumbs cannot pad the sample.
What gets excluded, and why
Four exclusions, all stated on the page. Wallets with fewer than eight recently settled positions are dropped because the hit-rate sample is too small to mean anything. Market-maker-shaped turnover — more than three million dollars of month volume at under 0.8% edge — is dropped as a rebate business rather than a read.
Wallets whose official lifetime profit is still negative are dropped, because a huge green week on an account that is still under water is variance, not a rising trader. And non-positive weeks are dropped defensively. The board reports how many wallets were scanned, enriched and kept, so the filtering is visible rather than implied.
How to use it without getting burned
Treat it as a source of names to watch, not names to follow. The whole premise of the board is that these wallets have less history than the main leaderboard requires, which is simultaneously the reason they are interesting and the reason they are risky.
Star one and it lands on your Watchlist, where you can read its book over a few weeks and find out whether the acceleration was the start of something or the middle of a lucky run.
What it cannot tell you
Every tool has a boundary, and knowing where it sits is the difference between using one well and being misled by it. For Rising Wallets:
- It is a screen, not an endorsement of any trader.
- Hit rates come from roughly the last hundred settled positions. Small samples are noisy, and a hot week is often luck.
- Young accounts have no track record by definition, which is precisely what puts them on this board.
- The exclusions are heuristics. They will drop some genuine traders and let some turnover accounts through.
- Polymarket only — the board needs public wallet-level history that Kalshi does not publish.
- The board refreshes on a several-minute cache because a cold rebuild costs hundreds of upstream calls. It is not a live tape.
What it is built on
- Polymarket data-api /v1/leaderboard for both the weekly candidate pool and each candidate's own monthly row.
- Polymarket data-api /closed-positions, sorted by time, for the recent settled record.
- Polymarket data-api /positions for open book value, and public profile data for wallet age.
- Polymarket's official lifetime profit endpoint, used to exclude accounts still under water.
Related reading
- Sharp Score: How to Find Skilled Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi — Guide
- Trader Risk Metrics: Reading Polymarket and Kalshi Leaderboards Beyond Raw PnL — Guide
- Building a Tail Portfolio: Following the Right Wallets — Strategy
Tools that pair with it
Wallets ranked by repeatable skill, not bankroll or luck.
The wallets you follow, and what they are holding.
Fresh wallets taking large, concentrated positions.
WhaleTracks is informational analytics, not financial advice. Market data comes from Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold's public APIs; WhaleTracks is not affiliated with any of them. Past performance does not guarantee future results.